By
Bonnie Coblentz MISSISSIPPI
STATE -- Farmers are facing some of the lowest prices in 25
years as they harvest crops, many with yields greatly
reduced by drought. Problems
from steadily rising production costs and falling prices are
magnified by the lack of rain this year. In recent weeks,
cotton prices have been as low as 45 cents a pound, soybeans
$4.63 per bushel and rice $6 per hundredweight. Dr. John
Lee, ag economist with Mississippi State University's
Extension Service, said these prices are significantly lower
than prices in recent years. "Many
prices facing farmers today for the major commodities are
the lowest in a quarter of a century," Lee said. "After
adjusting for inflation, the buying power of a pound of
cotton is less than one-third of what it was in
1980." Based on
projected yields of 773 pounds per acre, Delta cotton
farmers need 65 to 70 cents a pound to break even. Blackbelt
soybeans would need to bring $4.74 a bushel on projected
yields of 27 bushels per acre to break even. Rice is
in a similar position. On yields of 5,800 hundredweight per
acre, farmers need to get $6.90 per hundredweight to break
even. Inflation
compounds the problem of falling commodity prices. For
example, in 1972, farmers received about 29 cents a pound
for cotton. In inflation adjusted dollars, today's cotton
value of 45 cents a pound is worth just 13 cents in 1972
dollars. Similar inflation-adjusted value declines are seen
in each of the state's commodities. Lee said
it takes extraordinary measures for farmers to survive and
remain profitable in years such as this, but farmers find
ways to cope. "Over
the years, farmers have increased the size of their
operations and the amount of production so that even though
they operate on a thinner margin per pound or bushel, they
produce more volume in an effort to generate an acceptable
farm income," he said. Major
commodity yields continue their upward trend, a fact that
has helped offset rising production costs. "Costs
per acre are going up, but because of research that has
improved yields, we have been able to keep a lid on the cost
per pound," Lee said. "Farmers have also improved their
efficiency with better technology and better management.
Farming is high-tech business these days, and only the good
business managers will survive." The
adoption of the latest research, increased farm size,
specialization, genetically modified varieties, and new ways
to grow and harvest crops is boosting yields. These help
drive down the cost of production and help make American
farmers competitive in global markets. But to
survive recent poor economic times, farmers are having to
postpone capital investments and equipment maintenance,
reduce the use of fertilizers and other inputs, and rely on
government assistance. Lee said
if Congress approves the current farm disaster assistance
package, federal assistance to farmers could be the largest
since 1986. Weather aside, long-term economic relief for
farmers could still be a few years in the future. "The
current market conditions are caused by weak export markets
and strong production worldwide," Lee said. "The
expectations are that the Asian markets will begin to
recover next year, but profitable prices for farmers could
be another one to three years away." Released:
Sept. 6, 1999
Mississippi
Agricultural News:
Farmers Still
Cope As Costs Rise, Prices Fall
Contact: Dr. John Lee, (662) 325-2752
Visit: DAFVM
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